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Documentation Index

Fetch the complete documentation index at: https://docs.pear.trade/llms.txt

Use this file to discover all available pages before exploring further.

Pear aggregates every major prediction-market venue into a single discovery and trading surface. You see one feed, one set of markets, one trade flow, regardless of where the underlying liquidity lives.

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What you can trade

Six categories, every major prediction-market contract type. Markets group under events so you can compare related contracts side-by-side.
Politics
Politics
Elections, primaries, confirmations, policy outcomes, geopolitical events. Yes/No and scalar (vote share, seat count).
Crypto
Crypto
Price-target contracts, ETF approvals, protocol milestones, token launches, network metrics.
Sports
Sports
Game outcomes, season-long props, championship odds, head-to-heads, futures.
Culture
Culture
Awards, box-office numbers, music charts, viral moments, cultural milestones.
Economics
Economics
CPI prints, Fed decisions, GDP, unemployment, earnings, macro releases.
Tech & business
Tech & business
Product launches, IPOs, M&A, regulatory decisions, model benchmarks, company milestones.

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Events vs. markets

Pear groups related contracts under a parent event.
  • An event is a real-world thing that’s about to be resolved (e.g. “2026 US Senate elections”).
  • A market is a specific contract under that event (e.g. “Will Democrats hold the Pennsylvania Senate seat?”).
Most events have multiple markets. The event detail page shows you all of them side-by-side so you can compare related contracts, build correlated positions, or hedge across them.

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How prices work

Every market on Pear quotes a probability between 0¢ and 100¢, which is also the cost per share.
QuoteImplied probabilityPayout per share if Yes
30¢30%$1.00
55¢55%$1.00
82¢82%$1.00
If you buy 100 shares of Yes at 30¢, you pay $30. If Yes resolves true, you get $100. If Yes resolves false, you get $0. The same math applies to No.
Probability and price are the same thing. A market trading at 65¢ means the market thinks there’s a 65% chance the event happens. You can read the entire feed as a probability dashboard.

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Supported venues

Pear unifies every venue listed below into one trade flow. On most markets today, Pear routes the trade to the venue with the deepest liquidity for that market. Cross-venue price routing (the smart routing layer) is in beta and rolls out market by market.

Polymarket

USDC-settled prediction markets on Polygon. Deepest liquidity for politics, crypto, and culture. Continuous orderbook, fast settlement.

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event contracts on US bank rails. USD-settled, KYC-backed, regulated under federal commodities law.
More venues will be added as they reach the liquidity and reliability bar. New venues are folded into the trade flow as they’re added, and into the smart-routing beta as the router stabilizes around them.

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Settlement

Different venues settle differently. Pear normalizes everything to USD in your portfolio so you don’t have to think about it, but the underlying mechanics are:
VenueSettlement assetSettlement railResolution time
PolymarketUSDCPolygonMinutes after event resolution
KalshiUSDUS bankSame business day
When a position resolves, the proceeds land in the wallet on the corresponding chain. You can leave it there, swap it, or withdraw it.

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Market discovery

Pear surfaces markets in three ways:
1

Discover feed

Curated trending markets across every category. Updated continuously based on volume, recency, and relevance.
2

Search

Type a topic, candidate, ticker, team, or event name. Pear searches across every market on every venue and returns matches with current prices.
3

Followed activity

Markets that traders you follow have opened or closed positions in. The fastest way to find ideas you don’t already know about.

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What’s next

How Pear works

Smart routing across every venue listed above.

Trading

The full trade flow, from cost rundown to fill.